The logo of the company Datanalisis. Photo: Datanalisis.
The director of polling form Datanalisis, José Antonio Gil Yepes, predicted that Nicolás Maduro will be reelected as president of Venezuela by a margin of victory of one million votes.
In a private report, Gil expressed his belief that Maduro would receive six million votes and the opposition candidate Edmundo González, of the Unitary Platform, would receive five million.
“Edmundo González will get 5,660,074 votos, said Gil, “Maduro, 6 million votes, and the independent candidates will get about 500,000 votes between them.”
¿Qué hay en el documento filtrado de Datanalisis de cara a las elecciones presidenciales?
Pista: No le gustó ni un poquito a la ultraderecha.#CrecimientoProductivo pic.twitter.com/WadK2zrZQa
— El Cuarto Rojo (@ElCuartoRoj0) July 16, 2024
Thus, Gil expects voter participation of about 12.2 million Venezuelans, which would be equivalent to 58% of the 21.6 million registered voters in the country.
The report highlights “the slowing down of the campaign of Gonzalez, the growth of President Maduro’s candidacy, and the role that the pro-government party machinery is playing.”
Once again, this analysis ratifies that Nicolás Maduro is emerging as the winner of the elections.
There is a war of polls going on in Venezuela amidst the presidential elections. The far-right opposition has concentrated its efforts on promoting a narrative that considers its victory inevitable given the “overwhelming” popular support it maintains. It has tried to bolster this narrative with polls that allegedly confirm it, while the Chavistas, on the other hand, have pointed to numerous polls that confirm their strength.
Review of Venezuela’s Presidential Campaign 13 Days Before the Elections
Regarding the opposition polls, various voices within the opposition have made several calls not to take Edmundo González’s victory for granted just because the numbers show him as the favorite. In this manner, Francisco Rodríguez, an opposition-leaning economist based in the US, believes that these polls overestimating the opposition vote, providing a distorted image of the true electoral preferences of the population. He notes that the polling firms in question have a history of overestimating the opposition’s real chances.
For Luis Vicente León, another polling firm director (Datanalisis) close to the opposition: “the electoral dynamic is much more complex than the campaign jingles used by the… candidates.” He assigned a significant weight to the voter turnout as a crucial factor for the victory of the opposition.
(RedRadioVE) by Ana Perdigón
Translation: Orinoco Tribune
OT/KW/SL
