By Laila Tajeldine
■ The assassination by the United States of General Soleimani is a clear provocation that seeks several effects, including, in the short term, affecting Iran’s capacity in Iraq, Syria, Yemen and the entire Middle East.
■ By killing Iran’s strongest strategist in the fight against terrorism, it gives strength and advantage to terrorist groups in the Middle East to continue their actions.
■ In turn, the United States in the Iraqi territory strengthens the contradictions created between Sunnis and Shiites by activating a new trench, in response to the Shiite electoral victory in Iraqi territory 2019.
■ This action is a strict act of provocation that seeks a response from Iran and gives rise to other aggressive policies by the United States, from military clashes in other areas to deepening sanctions.
■ Iran’s reaction could neutralize European criticism of the unstoppable US sanctions against the Persian Nation that affect European interests.
■ The US agression at the same time aims to curb the strengthening of the deep alliances in 2019 between Iran-Iraq; China-Iran-Russia; as well as between Iran-Afghanistan.
■ The US can continue with the anti-Iran sanctions policy if it retaliates the provocation due to the death of General Soleimani.
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■ With these facts, the political trial against Trump could be reversed if the military industry and the Israeli lobby are satisfied with the warlike door that is opening.
■ Iran for its part has developed a millenary and thorough foreign policy, assuming cold and rational positions, with a long term vision.
■ Iran is still studying the rational and proportional response to such aggression that will not necessarily mean that it will be short term.
■ Iran could postpone any revenge action or activate any of lesser impact, so that it does not give rise to plans to help Donald Trump’s Republican Government.
■ However, the Islamic Republic of Iran has been preparing for these war scenarios for many years, developing a military technology industry with great capacity for action.
■ The United States is equally clear that it cannot face Iran on its own ground because it could affect world maritime trade with the closure of the Strait of Hormuz that is located in Iranian maritime territory and is controlled by the Persian nation, this sea passage is of great importance because it connects the Persian Gulf with the Indian Ocean and is where 35% of world’s oil passes through.
■ Undoubtedly, the International Community must have great concerns about this action by the United States that will have an impact in the Middle East.
Featured image: Why did Trump assassinate General Qassem Soleimani, head of the Quds Force of the Iranian Revolutionary Guard?
Translated by JRE/EF